prediction markets

Curated news coverage, institutional background, regulatory filings, and investigative reporting across RDU Global.

8 Stories Indexed

Last Updated: Just Now

Verified Entity Intelligence

Global Economy & Central Banks 05 Nov 2026, 08:00 AM IST

Prediction Markets Gain Credibility After Calling Democratic Sweep of Congress Early

Prediction markets strengthened their claim to being a fast-moving barometer of political outcomes after accurately projecting a Democratic sweep of Congress before many traditional news outlets. The episode has sharpened debate over whether markets built on real-money wagers can outpace polling, punditry and even some election desks in forecasting political power shifts.

By RDU Global Wire6 min read

Global Markets & Equities13 Oct 2026, 07:50 AM IST

Prediction Markets See Inflation Peaking in 2026, but Price Pressures Remain Sticky

Prediction markets are signaling that inflation may have already reached, or is close to reaching, its high point for 2026, but traders are not betting on a swift return to central bank comfort zones. Core inflation, which strips out food and energy, is still expected to remain stubbornly elevated, with little market conviction that it will fall to 2.2% this year. The pricing underscores a cautious outlook for policymakers who have spent the past two years trying to cool demand without triggering a sharper economic slowdown.

5 min readRead →

Global Markets & Equities09 Oct 2026, 03:49 PM IST

Gas Prices Seen Staying Sticky Ahead of Election Day, Prediction Markets Suggest

Prediction markets and recent industry data indicate that U.S. motorists are unlikely to see meaningful relief at the pump before Election Day, even as political pressure intensifies on the White House to act. Efforts to ease fuel costs have so far had limited impact, underscoring how global supply dynamics, refinery constraints and geopolitical risks continue to shape prices more than campaign rhetoric.

5 min readRead →

World Sports08 Oct 2026, 10:15 PM IST

NFL Urges Supreme Court to Treat Prediction Markets as Gambling, Backing State Oversight

The National Football League has told the U.S. Supreme Court that sports prediction contracts are effectively gambling and should be regulated by states, sharpening a high-stakes legal fight over the fast-growing market for event-based trading. In an amicus brief supporting New Jersey regulators in their dispute with Kalshi, the league argued that allowing such contracts to operate outside state gambling laws would undermine long-standing protections around sports wagering.

6 min readRead →

Global Economy & Central Banks06 Oct 2026, 02:44 PM IST

House Democrat Moves to Bar Candidates From Trading Election Prediction Markets

A House Democrat has introduced legislation aimed at preventing federal candidates from trading prediction market contracts tied to their own elections, following a recent penalty involving Kalshi. The bill would impose a fine for violations, sharpening scrutiny of a fast-growing market that has blurred the line between political forecasting and personal financial exposure.

5 min readRead →

Global Markets & Equities04 Oct 2026, 01:39 AM IST

Gen-Z Traders Are Turning Prediction Markets Into a New Speculative Frontier

A new cohort of young, digitally native traders is helping drive rapid growth in prediction markets, where contracts tied to elections, policy outcomes and other real-world events are attracting attention well beyond traditional finance. The trend underscores how younger investors are increasingly treating event-based wagering as both a market and a social product, with implications for liquidity, regulation and the broader retail trading boom.

5 min readRead →

Big Tech, Cloud & SemiconductorsJust now (11:17 AM IST)

Kalshi Suffers Another Court Setback as Judges Say Prediction Markets Must Follow Gambling Law

A federal appeals court has dealt Kalshi another blow, ruling that its event-contract prediction markets cannot sidestep state gambling rules simply by framing bets as financial products. The decision sharpens a growing legal clash over whether federally regulated exchanges can offer contracts tied to politics, sports and other real-world outcomes without being treated like traditional bookmakers. The case now appears headed toward the Supreme Court, where the broader future of prediction markets may be decided.

6 min readRead →

Global Markets & EquitiesJust now (09:34 AM IST)

Prediction Markets Signal Another Strong U.S. Jobs Report for September

Traders in prediction markets are pricing in a stronger-than-consensus U.S. employment report for September, suggesting confidence that the labor market remained resilient last month. The bet underscores a broader view that hiring momentum has not cooled as quickly as many economists expected, a development that could complicate the Federal Reserve’s path on interest rates.

5 min readRead →

🏢 About this Entity

Corporations, startups, regulatory bodies, central banks, ministries and judicial courts. All news mentioning this entity is automatically verified and aggregated into this live intelligence dossier.

Co-Occurring Entities

Entities frequently referenced alongside prediction markets:

Washington, D.C.(1)