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"Rupee Firms, Then Slips as Dollar Demand Overwhelms RBI Support"

The Indian rupee strengthened to an intra-day high on Friday before easing to 96.73 against the US dollar, as persistent corporate demand for dollars offset central bank support. The Reserve Bank of India intervened through state-owned banks, while Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the currency remains undervalued and needs stabilization.

Rupee Firms, Then Slips as Dollar Demand Overwhelms RBI Support

R

RDU Global Wire

BFSI & Fintech Desk

New Delhi, India 10 Oct 2026, 12:44 PM IST•4 min read

The Indian rupee strengthened to an intra-day high on Friday before easing to 96.73 against the US dollar, as persistent corporate demand for dollars offset central bank support. The Reserve Bank of India intervened through state-owned banks, while Governor Sanjay Malhotra said the currency remains undervalued and needs stabilization.

The Indian rupee moved higher in early trade on Friday but later gave up part of its gains, closing at 96.73 against the US dollar after the Reserve Bank of India stepped in to support the currency, traders said. The move underscored a familiar pattern in the foreign exchange market: official intervention can slow a slide, but it cannot fully counter sustained demand for dollars from importers and other corporate users.

RBI Support Steps In

Market participants said the central bank sold dollars through state-owned banks to smooth volatility and prevent sharper weakness in the rupee. Such intervention is typically aimed at calming disorderly moves rather than defending a fixed level, and Friday's trading suggested the RBI remained active as the currency came under pressure. The rupee's rise to an intra-day high reflected the immediate effect of that support, but the gains proved difficult to sustain.

Reserve Bank Governor Sanjay Malhotra added to the market's focus by saying the currency is undervalued and needs stabilization. His remarks were read by traders as a signal that the central bank is watching the exchange rate closely and is prepared to lean against abrupt swings. Even so, the governor's comments did not alter the broader market reality: dollar demand remains firm, and that demand continues to shape the rupee's near-term path.

Dollar Demand Persists

Traders said companies continue to seek dollars for trade settlements, hedging and other payment obligations, keeping pressure on the currency. That demand has been strong enough to absorb some of the RBI's support, limiting the rupee's ability to hold on to early gains. In practical terms, the market is still being driven by the balance between official supply of dollars and private sector demand, with the latter remaining dominant at several points during the session.

The rupee's close at 96.73 suggests that intervention helped prevent a sharper decline, but not a meaningful reversal of trend. For businesses that rely on imported inputs or have overseas liabilities, the currency's weakness remains a cost concern. For exporters, a softer rupee can improve realizations, though the benefits are often offset by volatility and the higher cost of imported raw materials.

Policy Signal, Market Test

Friday's trading also highlighted the RBI's broader policy challenge. The central bank has to balance exchange-rate stability with the need to avoid appearing to target a specific level. By describing the rupee as undervalued, Malhotra appeared to reinforce the view that the currency's recent weakness may be excessive relative to fundamentals. Yet the market's response showed that verbal support alone is unlikely to shift sentiment unless dollar demand eases or external conditions improve.

The rupee's performance will remain sensitive to import demand, global dollar strength and the pace of RBI intervention. Traders will also watch whether the central bank continues to use state-owned banks as its preferred channel for smoothing the market. For now, the message from Friday's session is clear: the RBI can slow the rupee's decline, but persistent corporate dollar buying still has the power to cap any recovery.

The currency market's tone suggests that volatility may remain elevated in the near term, especially if demand for dollars stays broad-based. Any sustained stabilization would likely require a combination of stronger supply, softer import demand and a more favorable external backdrop. Until then, the rupee is likely to remain under pressure, with official support acting mainly as a brake rather than a cure.

Editorial & Verification Notice

Reported by RDU Global Correspondent. Formatted and verified using real-time institutional and journalistic wire feeds. Independent reporting adhering to the RDU Global Editorial Code of Conduct.

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